ATLAS
WDC

Western Digital

Cyclical AI Beneficiary
Memory & storage·US·San Jose, CA·#7 / 9 in segment·4.1% of segment mcap
$459.62
801.5% vs S&P 12m

HDD and NAND/SSD supplier; HDD remains the cheapest medium for cold AI training data lakes.

HDD capacity demand surprises to the upside as AI training datasets balloon; pure-play HDD focus post the Flash separation.

Products
  • Enterprise HDD
  • Enterprise SSD
Customers (2)
  • Hyperscalers
  • Storage OEMs
Competitors (2)

Composite score

Higher = stronger overall research case

60
Fundamental76
Technical85
Valuation21
AI relevance55
Risk-adjusted (higher = safer)41
Segment-relative fundamental percentile: 75

Synthetic 1Y price action

Deterministic price series; 50d (yellow) and 200d (orange) MAs shown

3M RS: 53.2%6M RS: 171.6%12M RS: 801.5%Vol30d: 49%DD52w: -10.9%

Financial summary

Curated, illustrative

Revenue
$11.78B
Growth (YoY)
45.5%
Gross margin
45.4%
Operating margin
37.0%
FCF
$2.08B
Capex
$1.21B
Net cash / (debt)
$1.51B
ROIC
14.6%
Customer conc.
Medium

Valuation

Market cap
$158.42B
Enterprise value
$156.91B
P/E (TTM)
27.5x
Forward P/E
26.4x
EV / Sales
13.3x
EV / EBITDA
39.9x
P / FCF
76.3x
PEG
0.4x
Rule of 40

Risks

Severity 1 (low) to 5 (severe)

  • 4
    Cyclical NAND exposure

Score components

What drove the composite

Growth96
Profitability91
Cash generation67
Balance sheet82
Moat / AI relevance62
Capital intensity (higher = lighter)59
Customer diversification60
Valuation discipline (dilution)65
Trend (MA50/MA200)95
Momentum (3/6/12m)80
Relative strength100
Realized vol (higher = lower vol)43