ATLAS
CEG

Constellation Energy

High-growth Infrastructure Bet
Power · cooling · grid infrastructure·US·Baltimore, MD·#6 / 18 in segment·4.5% of segment mcap
$281.26
-29.2% vs S&P 12m

Largest carbon-free generator in the US; flagship Microsoft Three Mile Island PPA reframed the nuclear-AI thesis.

Direct revenue uplift from AI hyperscaler PPAs; nuclear PPAs at premium pricing reset the merchant power thesis.

Products
  • Nuclear generation
  • PPAs
  • Retail energy
Customers (2)
Competitors (2)

Composite score

Higher = stronger overall research case

60
Fundamental62
Technical28
Valuation63
AI relevance80
Risk-adjusted (higher = safer)57
Segment-relative fundamental percentile: 58

Synthetic 1Y price action

Deterministic price series; 50d (yellow) and 200d (orange) MAs shown

3M RS: -11.9%6M RS: -28.3%12M RS: -29.2%Vol30d: 52%DD52w: -30.4%

Financial summary

Curated, illustrative

Revenue
$29.87B
Growth (YoY)
63.8%
Gross margin
23.3%
Operating margin
21.9%
FCF
$-4.48B
Capex
$9.03B
Net cash / (debt)
$-21.60B
ROIC
4.2%
Customer conc.
Medium

Valuation

Market cap
$101.59B
Enterprise value
$123.19B
P/E (TTM)
24.5x
Forward P/E
20.7x
EV / Sales
4.1x
EV / EBITDA
15.5x
P / FCF
PEG
3.7x
Rule of 40

Risks

Severity 1 (low) to 5 (severe)

  • 3
    Power price normalization
  • 3
    Regulatory PPA approval (FERC)

Score components

What drove the composite

Growth99
Profitability68
Cash generation21
Balance sheet51
Moat / AI relevance88
Capital intensity (higher = lighter)25
Customer diversification60
Valuation discipline (dilution)65
Trend (MA50/MA200)5
Momentum (3/6/12m)35
Relative strength45
Realized vol (higher = lower vol)40